Serversurfer acting bit too much like he is some kind of authority and voice of reason. Come down from that tower and talk without condescending tone, like others do, even when disagreeing.
Someone asked why I continue to engage in these "debates," so I tried to explain it. I'm sorry if my motivations strike you as too pious or something, but I'm not sure how else to explain it. I'm sorry if I come off as condescending; I certainly don't mean to. =/
He doesn't call it that.
He refers to it as choosing his words carefully, to play with people's perspectives, in an effort to prevent them from bashing [unnamed console].
End of the day the posters who post on this forum with an inside view of the industry don't owe us anything and you're acting like you expect a full tour of their workplace and industry before anything they say can be trustworthy.
Of course, I wasn't suggesting anything of the sort. I was just pointing out the types of contributions which would benefit GAF, as opposed to the kind that only benefit MS. I appreciate the former, but not if it means we must suffer the latter in silence. Hell, I don't even begrudge him the right to say his thing, but I see no reason I shouldn't be allowed to respond. People can draw their own conclusions about who made the better argument. Unfortunately, I usually don't get a rebuttal in situations like these; just a bunch of name-calling, mocking, and declarations of victory.
serversurfer's attempt to smear John Harker is hilarious
No, it was John who attempted to smear me, rather than respond to my criticisms. I posted a clear and calm explanation of why I thought his post was off-topic and even misleading given what we know about the actual state of the market. The only response he offered was to say I was too dumb to understand the purpose of his post. Having made it clear he'd rather discuss issues like credibility and motivations than the substance of his post, I obliged him. Maybe he thought attacking my character would be easier than attacking my argument. Maybe he was right. /shrug
Anyway
299$? No chance. That's a huge money loss. 329$ was not from MS, but from some retailers ( IIRC Target ).
As I recall, the $329 price was only official on Black Friday and then it went back to $349, but some retailers had it at $329 off and on through the holiday. I think Amazon actually kept it at $329 through Christmas and beyond. Additionally, there were various retailer-specific promotions like gift cards and more free games, but it seems likely MS were covering any costs associated with those promotions. We've been told that's typically how it works, regardless of platform. These retailers aren't charities; if they're coming out of their own pocket to move stock, they won't be ordering much more.
Anyway, are we actually sure $300 would be a "huge money loss" for either company? I know the Bone costs a bit more to build, but we're nearly two years out from launch. Sony have done a redesign that cut their RAM chips in half. Have MS done a redesign yet? Are we that sure these companies can't have shaved ~$100 off of their BOMs in two years? What
are current build costs estimated at?
Nice analysis. Kudos. You mention a lot of people still on last-gen, especially buyers with young children. Does it seem likely these are groups who are simply waiting for price cuts before upgrading? Clearly, they haven't lost their interest in console gaming in general, so price seems the most likely suspect holding them back. Thoughts?
Effectively taking $220 off a console's sale price from the previous holiday season isn't "almost nothing", it's the single largest factor, and it can't be repeated for 2015, because the console is currently available for $350.
That's kind of what I've been getting at. MS shot their load last holiday, and there's not much room for them to make any significant cuts this year. That said, even a repeat of last year isn't that great for Sony, when they lost 600k of their lead. If Sony can afford to hit $299 this holiday and do so, they could easily flip last year's loss in to a similar gain. Sure, they could wait until Spring or even later before cutting, but that likely just gives them more ground to regain again. MS made a lot of hay last holiday at the lower price point. Right now, Sony are asking themselves if they want to leave that market entirely to MS again this year or start claiming some of it for themselves. (Well, I suspect they've already decided, but yeah.)